Deal Hudson: "Giuliani Might as Well Work On His Tan"
Deal Hudson writes at InsideCatholic.com:
... Forbes' prediction that Giuliani will emerge as the main challenger to Romney. Rich Karlgaard from Forbes sees the Huckabee campaign running out of gas after South Carolina and Giuliani, in all his secular glory, waiting for McCain in Florida.(emphasis added)
I think some of the pundits living in the Big Apple need to sample life outside the confines of their city. Like Karlsgaard, they don't seem to realize that the Huckabee candidacy is real. It's not a bubble of enthusiasm about to burst.
They also don't seem to accept the grassroots antipathy toward Giuliani -- the early level of support for him was based upon a glossy image, but once the basic facts were known, that glossy image got a big black "X" drawn over it.
McCain possesses all the Giuliani "virtues" plus a pro-life voting record, so why continue supporting a guy who failed to show up for the first two (now four) primaries?
Once Huckabee figures out how to connect with Catholics -- which he failed to do in Iowa and New Hampsire -- he will become truly formidable. Between McCain and Huckabee, there won't be room for anybody else. Or the need.
I think this analysis is spot on. Why Northeastern pundits continue to place any hopes at all on Giuliani or Romney is completely beyond me. Neither of them has been able to connect with the base of GOP voters to date, and I see no indication that this will change in the future.
As for that last bit of Hudson's commentary - "Between McCain and Huckabee, there won't be room for anybody else. Or the need.", I am surprised to find myself thinking along those same lines. Despite some personal antipathy toward, and doubts about the trustworthiness of, both of those two candidates, I nevertheless am beginning to think they are the only ones in the field who really have anything to offer the Catholic voter in particular and the nation as a whole.
Let me make clear that McCain will have to change his position regarding federally funding of embryonic stem-cell research before I could ever consider supporting him.